Two easy-money pieces

Author: 
Paul Krugman

"As regular readers know, I’ve been growing increasingly concerned about the buzz saying “the recession’s over, let’s raise interest rates”. I think the ZIRP — the zero interest rate policy — needs to stay in place until unemployment has declined a long way, probably below 7 percent. And that will probably take years.

A couple of recent pieces reinforce that argument. One is this recent post at Macroblog on “trimmed” inflation. The concept is this: when we’re trying to assess inflation trends, what you really want is the sluggish, “inertial” part, not the short-run fluctuations. The usual technique is to exclude traditionally volatile prices — food and energy — to get “core” inflation. An alternative, however, is to “trim” all big price changes, and look at the middle of the distribution. What you get depends on how much you trim. Here’s the picture:"

 

[Read the full blog post by Paul Krugman]

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Posted : Friday 23 October 2009 20:19 | Managing Editor

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    Friday 29 October 2010 | lin huojian

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